Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 236.413756 266.723657 300.517280 341.188889 389.075094 443.988832 512.193432
2024-10-06 190.503973 229.863869 277.719364 340.978391 423.602076 529.570704 678.629754
2024-10-13 161.700829 203.317071 256.722377 331.708506 436.652419 582.070283 805.856835
2024-10-20 144.311630 187.530446 245.466899 330.978660 457.872012 645.978707 959.944539
2024-10-27 126.335731 168.229849 226.254238 315.213551 453.369349 669.466311 1054.969601
2024-11-03 120.404242 164.618918 228.074519 329.542415 495.426472 771.473086 1304.429396
2024-11-10 116.094302 162.642363 231.696377 346.605198 544.009131 893.249684 1624.166074
2024-11-17 108.400307 154.752374 225.312316 346.482390 563.102880 966.101503 1869.076835
2024-11-24 99.845599 144.715966 214.460157 337.354221 564.439327 1005.229386 2052.989338
2024-12-01 92.532705 135.974422 204.795431 328.975400 565.621089 1043.828170 2247.544647
2024-12-08 89.376212 133.538177 205.137097 338.150572 601.543675 1161.621069 2680.355045
2024-12-15 85.050186 128.827306 201.174880 338.899048 620.644451 1246.706959 3060.383383
2024-12-22 79.877011 122.481905 194.113767 333.524724 627.364419 1307.649182 3406.959282
2024-12-29 76.025994 118.095700 190.131730 333.692067 646.236119 1403.306922 3912.777005
2025-01-05 71.203357 111.691638 181.987472 324.643669 643.096976 1442.381796 4248.876192
2025-01-12 67.993050 107.858158 178.184583 323.935486 658.985268 1536.205611 4840.341425
2025-01-19 63.110832 100.774526 167.844501 308.590500 637.865253 1522.318492 5001.783158
2025-01-26 62.367713 101.000308 171.197877 322.537605 690.460233 1736.571769 6281.890411
2025-02-02 61.925239 101.721950 175.533359 339.140124 753.143239 2003.896549 8072.290423
2025-02-09 59.599250 98.819373 172.550661 339.020650 771.782793 2134.786363 9287.961275
2025-02-16 56.504751 94.303834 166.042070 330.139439 765.026619 2176.619219 10029.851875
2025-02-23 53.704203 90.194665 160.085213 321.985779 759.171781 2220.966028 10845.707962
2025-03-02 52.793079 89.621801 161.274884 330.914313 804.223057 2472.194514 13429.526966